BRAIAIN Index Last updated: 2026-10-20

The BRAIAIN Buildout Index

As of Q2 2026 the BRAIAIN Buildout Index stands at 647.7 (base: Q1 2022 = 100). The underlying combined flow — big-4 hyperscaler capital expenditure plus NVIDIA data-center revenue — grew from $39.4B to $255.0B per quarter over those 18 quarters, a 55.2% compound annual rate, including a dip to 97.7 in Q1 2023 before the post-ChatGPT acceleration.

100 97.7 647.7 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Index level by calendar quarter, Q1 2022 = 100, scale 0–648. Chart drawn from the table below.

The data

quartermsft capex musdgoogl capex musdamzn capex musdmeta capex musdnvda dc revenue musdcombined flow musdindex q1 2022 eq 100
2022Q153409786149515548375039375100.0
2022Q268716828157247747380640976104.1
2022Q362837276163789518383343288109.9
2022Q462747595165929223361643300110.0
2023Q16607628914207708742843847497.7
2023Q2894368881145563541032343963111.7
2023Q3991780551247967631451451728131.4
2023Q49735110191458878991840461645156.6
2024Q110952120121492567152256367167170.6
2024Q213873131861762084722627279423201.7
2024Q314923130612262092023077190577230.0
2024Q41580414276278341483635580108330275.1
2025Q11674517197250191369239112111765283.8
2025Q21707922446321831701241096129816329.7
2025Q31939423953350951937051200149012378.4
2025Q42987627851395222214062300181689461.4
2026Q13087635674442031984075200205793522.6
2026Q23580244924542083108089000255014647.7

Download: CSV · JSON — compiled data CC BY 4.0; underlying sources keep their own terms.

Method & caveats

Index(q) = 100 × [capex(MSFT)+capex(GOOGL)+capex(AMZN)+capex(META)+DC revenue(NVDA)](q) ÷ [same sum in Q1 2022]. Component definitions follow each company's filings (see the capex page). The two component types overlap — hyperscaler chip purchases appear in both their capex and NVIDIA's revenue — so the sum is a gross, overlapping flow, not de-duplicated market spending, and the index is a measure of reported buildout intensity rather than a market total. NVIDIA fiscal quarters are mapped to the nearest calendar quarter (~1 month offset). The index was launched Oct 2026 with base Q3 2025 = 100 and re-based the same week to Q1 2022 = 100 when the back-series was completed; the changelog records this. Re-based within days of each earnings season.

Sources

Questions

Why these five companies?
Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon and Meta are the four largest AI-infrastructure capex spenders with comparable quarterly disclosure, and NVIDIA's data-center segment is the dominant supply-side line. The roster is fixed and any change would be versioned in the changelog.
Is 647.7 a market size?
No. It is an index of a gross, overlapping flow of reported figures — useful for rate-of-change, not for totals.
When does it update?
Within days of each big-4/NVIDIA earnings print — roughly eight times a year.

Cite this

BRAIAIN. "The BRAIAIN Buildout Index." www.braiain.com/buildout-index.html, updated 2026-10-20. Original sources as listed above.

Related

Part of BRAIAIN — the AI buildout, measured. Every figure carries its source and date; the full rules are in the methodology. Corrections: see the contact note there. © 2026 BRAIAIN, a dnilgis project.